Just hope the insurance companies know and consider that before bumping prices up !
Insurance companies consider lots of factors - not just car security features or risks.
It's likely that postcode, driving history, occupation, repair costs, mileage and claims among other data will have a strong impact on quotes.
I don't know what the stats are on accidents versus theft claims (and naturally there will be some overlap). I don't profess to be an insurance and risk expert. But actuaries use various statistics and mathematical techniques to analyse risk. That risk model is going to include damage to other vehicles and so on.
I think this is already happening. I ordered my lux in march and was being quoted 470 for the year. I was doing comparison quotes to see how much they were to insure as I didnt want pay a fortune. The 470 was with my current company hastings. That made my mind up to go for a cupra as it wasnt that much more than my golf at the time.
My actual renewal time has now come and comparison site quotes are now nearly 700 and my renewal letter from hastings was 980!!. No details have changed, no accidents, change of address, absolutely nothing. 39 years old, full no protected no claims etc
Rang hastings and they went through it all again and said the cheapest they could do was 610. So something has happened this last few months with the cupra's.
For interest I ran a quote through for my old golf and that was cheaper than last year. So that went down for me, but the cupra went up since my March quote.
quotes change all the time for various reasons. I got a quote about 6 months ago and was cheaper for cupra than current fr. I changed insurer and asked about cupra and prices had increased. Now they’re down to where they were - for me. And again no change in circumstances.
Best price was aviva who aren’t on comparison sites. But they could only give an approximate price without the reg.
some companies will hold the price for 1 to 3 months. So might be a way to beat any price increases. It’s a fluid market.
Edit. It’s reported that the best time to get renewal quotes is about 3 weeks before renewal. Your mileage may vary